Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3257.465423 3512.865577 3771.219720 4051.803534 4347.599332 4649.838778 4981.668038
2024-12-29 2888.326547 3274.043589 3678.252485 4132.162615 4626.400378 5146.984729 5735.496271
2025-01-05 2619.975817 3083.298408 3581.751951 4155.287961 4794.359719 5481.987696 6275.157080
2025-01-12 2403.679948 2921.137078 3490.388858 4158.855937 4917.999362 5749.071894 6723.311454
2025-01-19 2153.483867 2698.848743 3311.646181 4045.091721 4892.783777 5835.560997 6956.982353
2025-01-26 2078.426309 2670.064683 3346.201121 4167.713437 5130.285432 6213.956047 7517.427926
2025-02-02 1990.791455 2618.544258 3347.542844 4245.850548 5311.871996 6525.542217 8000.328437
2025-02-09 1871.333979 2520.693842 3286.994974 4244.559471 5395.190911 6719.591352 8344.876499
2025-02-16 1749.730395 2412.951455 3208.049203 4215.184862 5440.034990 6864.666654 8629.385292
2025-02-23 1676.243770 2360.621816 3192.644025 4259.209654 5570.016908 7108.470447 9029.574786
2025-03-02 1586.272121 2282.448994 3140.965266 4254.840269 5638.254361 7276.595072 9338.777295
2025-03-09 1540.307970 2258.178330 3154.442610 4329.395735 5801.804241 7558.880314 9785.399755
2025-03-16 1449.387805 2172.304705 3088.034522 4303.052054 5841.508700 7693.534225 10058.413962
2025-03-23 1411.999116 2155.684701 3109.135844 4386.833294 6018.427421 7996.612858 10538.306739
2025-03-30 1352.735551 2106.498370 3085.369876 4411.006717 6118.984013 8205.268521 10903.230178
2025-04-06 1289.438231 2048.709522 3047.620819 4414.736452 6191.864789 8378.690346 11224.730311
2025-04-13 1183.112194 1926.237656 2919.353115 4295.796296 6104.021266 8348.577651 11291.676304
2025-04-20 1175.830694 1943.106745 2978.296047 4423.995380 6335.223609 8719.967035 11860.765051
2025-04-27 1152.240869 1935.278381 3002.693010 4505.664131 6506.108662 9016.039778 12337.353063
2025-05-04 1100.809100 1884.761470 2966.498515 4504.314839 6567.333758 9172.442178 12638.527630
2025-05-11 1042.403391 1821.422087 2910.200442 4473.614459 6588.208020 9276.207773 12872.678610
2025-05-18 1012.581306 1799.378568 2910.697567 4519.625335 6710.326304 9510.075631 13273.051643
2025-05-25 968.165538 1753.334648 2875.522075 4515.059075 6763.930654 9655.061693 13560.177441